US Coronavirus Update, August 1 to 11

Here’s the estimated Rt, the coronavirus’s effective reproduction rate, based on changes in daily death rates over consecutive ten-day intervals:

  • August 1 – August 11:  980/1,118 = 0.88
  • July 22 – August 1:   1,118/843 = 1.33
  • July 12 – July 22:   843/633 = 1.33
  • July 2 – July 12:   633/630 = 1.00
  • June 22 – July 2:    630/599 = 1.05
  • June 12 – June 22:   599/853 = 0.70
  • June 2 – June 12:   853/940 = 0.91
  • May 23 – June 2:   940/1,316 = 0.71
  • May 13 – May 23:   1,316/1,700 = 0.77

Case counts and hospitalizations are also down. Contagion is hovering around a rate around 60 percent higher than it was two months ago. The number of diagnostic tests being administered is also down, while percent test-positives are flat.

Schools have started reopening…

 

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